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Rate Hikes

A central bank raising its policy rate — making borrowing dearer to cool demand and hold prices down.Check pointHikes discount distant profits harder. The further out a company’s earnings sit, the more the same hike costs its share price.

This, Too, Shall Pass. But Investors Should Come Out Tougher

Selloffs will keep coming. Lower debt, less concentration and steady buying can make them easier to live with.

Investor Mind

S&P 500 Slips 0.22%, but 73% of the Market Fell

Long-term yields above 5% weighed on small caps and semiconductors on Oct. 7. A strong 10-year Treasury auction and a few large tech names limited the index's losses.

Tech

Rate at 5%: How to Hold AI Stocks This Week - Oil and Cash Flow Are the Real Variables

The Fed raised rates for the first time in three years even as August core CPI cooled to 2.4%. The market's real question this week is not whether inflation has fallen, but whether an oil shock revives inflation expectations and long-term yields, and whether AI companies' profits can hold up under 5% rates.

Investing

The Question Markets Asked This Week: Who Controls the AI Bottleneck, Not Who Owns AI

The Fed hiked again and the 10-year topped 5 percent, but the center of the AI trade held. The market is no longer asking whether AI is growing, it is asking who controls memory, power and capital.

Tech

25bp Wasn't the Scary Part. Time Is - How September's FOMC Rewrote the Rate Path

The Fed raised rates for the first time in three years, but the bigger story for investors is how long elevated rates could stay in place, possibly through 2027.

Macro

It's Not Just Hormuz: Why the Middle East War Is Becoming a Fed Problem Again

The US-Iran ceasefire has already collapsed, and the risk no longer sits in the Gulf alone. With the Red Sea and Saudi Arabia's bypass pipeline now under threat too, an energy shock is spreading into prices, the Fed, and growth-stock valuations.

Macro

Oil at $110, 10-Year Yield at 5%: The Discount Rate on Growth Stocks Is Rising Again

Brent crude spiked to $109.97 intraday and the US 10-year Treasury yield tested the 5% threshold. What matters is not the numbers themselves but that oil-driven inflation fears are pushing bond yields higher across the globe at once.

Macro