Consumer Price Index (CPI)
An index of what households actually buy. Stripping out volatile food and energy gives core CPI, which is what you read for the trend.
It's Not Just Hormuz: Why the Middle East War Is Becoming a Fed Problem Again
The US-Iran ceasefire has already collapsed, and the risk no longer sits in the Gulf alone. With the Red Sea and Saudi Arabia's bypass pipeline now under threat too, an energy shock is spreading into prices, the Fed, and growth-stock valuations.
AI Is Supposed to Cut Costs. So Why Is It Pushing Prices Up?
Building the infrastructure behind AI means buying power, copper and data centers first, and that demand is already showing up in inflation data.
S&P 500 Rises 0.86%, Yet Rate-Hike Odds Hit 90%: The Real Reason Stocks Rallied
Stocks and rate expectations moved in the same direction on Friday, an unusual pairing. The market did not shake off inflation worries; a sharp oil price drop and an oversold bounce simply outweighed rate pressure for one day.
September or December? The Fed's next hike is bigger than one CPI print
August payrolls came in strong and July's job losses vanished in revision. The Fed's problem is no longer a collapsing labor market. It is how much to trust the recent cooling in prices.
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