If an AI Says "I Don't Want to Be Shut Off"

Whether AI can truly have feelings is an interesting question. The more urgent one is how much authority humans are already handing over to it.

Tech

Forget Dollars: AI Investment Now Needs to Be Measured in Gigawatts

Reports say Microsoft's data center capacity could grow from about 12GW today to more than 38GW by 2032. The real story isn't the CAPEX total, it's that AI has become an industrial infrastructure race spanning power, chips, networking and cooling.

Tech

Higher Rates Don't Break Big Tech's Business. They Reprice Its Future.

Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple and Nvidia are sitting on more cash than debt. What rates actually change is the discount rate applied to cash flows a decade out, and whether a cut is a soft landing or a recession signal.

Tech

AI Is Not One Wave. It Is Five, and They Do Not Peak Together

Treating AI as a single chip cycle hides the important part. Training, inference, infrastructure, agents and physical AI run on different clocks and different revenue models, which is why slower growth at Nvidia and the end of the AI supercycle are not the same sentence.

Investing

The industry wins, the shareholder loses: AI's most awkward scenario

The biggest risk in AI is not that the technology fails. It is that AI works, spreads through the economy, and still destroys returns because too much capacity gets built. The internet succeeded. Plenty of dot-com investors did not.

Investing

AI Stocks Come in Three Kinds. Pricing Them the Same Way Is the Mistake

Nvidia, Meta and Tesla all get called AI growth stocks. They sell entirely different things: proven cash, a productivity boost hidden inside an old business, and a bet on a market that does not exist yet.

Investing

Waiting for rate cuts is how you miss the market

Since 2022 US equities have repeatedly broken the textbook link between high rates and falling stocks. The explanation is not the policy rate. It is the Treasury's checking account, T-bills, the RRP window and the capital expenditure bills coming out of data centers.

Macro

"AI stock" is the most dangerous phrase in your portfolio

Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Vertiv and Tesla all get filed under the same label. They sell different things to different buyers with different moats, and pricing them the same way is how investors get hurt.

Investing

The Cheaper Tokens Get, the Bigger Your AI Bill Gets

As AI shifts from training to inference, the token is becoming an industrial commodity. Falling prices are not cutting demand, because agents and automation consume tokens at a scale no human chat session ever did.

Investing

AI is no longer competing on intelligence. It is competing on leftover cash

The race for better models continues, but the industry's center of gravity has moved. The question now is who can turn enormous data center and power spending into revenue and cash flow.

Investing